The famous Hamburg derby is back as St. Pauli host Hamburger SV at Millerntor-Stadion on Friday, January 23, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 UTC. This high-intensity Bundesliga clash is expected to deliver a passionate atmosphere, aggressive duels, and a tactical battle between two sides who know each other very well.
St. Pauli come into this matchup looking to bounce back after mixed results, while Hamburger SV will aim to tighten up defensively and improve their away performance in one of Germany’s most heated derbies.
🏟️ Match Info
- Match: St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV
- Competition: Bundesliga
- Date: Friday, 23 January 2026
- Kick-off: 19:30 UTC
- Venue: Millerntor-Stadion
📊 Team Form (Last 5 Matches)
🟤 St. Pauli Form
- Borussia Dortmund 3–2 St. Pauli ❌
- Wolfsburg 2–1 St. Pauli ❌
- St. Pauli 0–0 Werder Bremen ➖
- Mainz 0–0 St. Pauli ➖
- St. Pauli 2–1 Heidenheim ✅
✅ St. Pauli form summary: Competitive but not consistent. Strong spirit, but conceding in key moments.
🔵 Hamburger SV Form
- Hamburger SV 0–0 M’gladbach ➖
- Freiburg 2–1 Hamburger SV ❌
- Hamburger SV 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt ➖
- Hoffenheim 4–1 Hamburger SV ❌
- Hamburger SV 3–2 Werder Bremen ✅
⚠️ Hamburger form summary: Leaking goals recently, but still dangerous going forward.
📌 Head-to-Head (H2H) Record
According to their recent history, this derby has been balanced, with St. Pauli holding a slight edge:
✅ H2H Overall:
- St. Pauli wins: 7
- Hamburger SV wins: 4
- Draws: 4
🔥 Recent H2H Results
- 29 Aug 2025: Hamburger SV 0–2 St. Pauli ✅
- 03 May 2024: Hamburger SV 1–0 St. Pauli ❌
- 01 Dec 2023: St. Pauli 2–2 Hamburger SV ➖
- 21 Apr 2023: Hamburger SV 4–3 St. Pauli ❌
- 14 Oct 2022: St. Pauli 3–0 Hamburger SV ✅
- 21 Jan 2022: Hamburger SV 2–1 St. Pauli ❌
📌 H2H takeaway: Goals and drama are common in this derby, and both sides usually create chances.
🧠 Tactical Breakdown
Both teams are expected to line up with a 3-4-2-1 shape, meaning the key battles will happen in:
- Midfield duels (winning second balls)
- Wide areas (wing-backs pushing high)
- Transitions (quick counter attacks after turnovers)
St. Pauli will try to press early and feed their attacking midfielders between the lines, while Hamburger SV will rely on pace and direct runs from Königsdörffer and Dompe to hurt the hosts in transition.
✅ Predicted Lineups
🟤 St. Pauli (3-4-2-1)
Nikola Vasilj – Adam Dzwigala, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets –
Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Eric Smith, Lars Ritzka –
Mathias Pereira Lage, Joel Chima Fujita – Martijn Kaars
❌ Unavailable (St. Pauli):
Simon Spari, David Nemeth, Connor Metcalfe, Andreas Hountondji
🔵 Hamburger SV (3-4-2-1)
Daniel Heuer Fernandes – Warmed Omari, Luka Vuskovic, Jordan Torunarigha –
Bakery Jatta, Fabio Vieira, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim –
Ransford Königsdörffer, Jean-Luc Dompe – Damion Downs
❌ Unavailable (Hamburger SV):
Guilherme Ramos (suspension), Emir Sahiti, Aboubaka Soumahoro, Yussuf Poulsen
📈 St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Odds Table (Top Bookmakers)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.76 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| Melbet | 2.66 | 3.04 | 2.87 | 2.33 | 1.71 |
| Linebet | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| BetWinner | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
📌 Odds are approximate and may change before kickoff.
🎯 Best Betting Tips (St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV)
✅ Main Pick: Double Chance (St. Pauli or Draw) – 1X
St. Pauli have a stronger home edge and slightly better derby record.
✅ Goals Pick: Under 3.5 Goals
Derbies can start aggressive but become tactical and cautious after the first half.
✅ Safer Option: Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – YES (medium risk)
Hamburger SV have attacking quality, and St. Pauli can create chances at home.
✅ Correct Score Lean
St. Pauli 1–1 Hamburger SV
or
St. Pauli 2–1 Hamburger SV
⭐ Final Thoughts
This Bundesliga derby is expected to be intense and unpredictable, with both teams having enough quality to score. St. Pauli are slight favorites due to home advantage and a strong H2H record, but Hamburger SV can still hurt them on the counter.
✅ Best approach: avoid risky 1X2 picks and focus on double chance + goals markets.
⭐ For more Bundesliga match previews and betting tips, visit our Bundesliga Predictions page.
