Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction – Super Cup Final 2026

Home » Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction – Super Cup Final 2026

Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich meet in the Franz Beckenbauer Supercup Final at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK on Saturday, August 22, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:30 UTC (20:30 CEST).

The first trophy of the new German football season is on the line, and it comes with one of the country’s biggest rivalries: Der Klassiker.

Bayern qualified after completing the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal double, while Dortmund earned their place as Bundesliga runners-up.

Dortmund have home advantage but enter the final with mixed recent results. Bayern, meanwhile, arrive in much stronger form after five consecutive victories.

In this Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich prediction, we analyse recent form, team news, head-to-head numbers, predicted lineups and our strongest picks for the Super Cup Final.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Match Info

  • Match: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich
  • Competition: Franz Beckenbauer Supercup
  • Round: Final 🏆
  • Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
  • Kick-off: 18:30 UTC / 20:30 CEST
  • Venue: SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
  • Location: Dortmund, Germany
  • Dortmund unavailable: Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Carney Chukwuemeka
  • Bayern unavailable: Jamal Musiala, Konrad Laimer, Lennart Karl, Serge Gnabry

Official starting lineups are normally confirmed around one hour before kick-off.

Why Dortmund and Bayern Are Playing the Super Cup Final

The 2026 Franz Beckenbauer Supercup brings together Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund for the first major trophy of the German season.

Bayern secured their place after winning both the 2025/26 Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal.

Because Bayern completed the domestic double, Bundesliga runners-up Borussia Dortmund qualified as their opponents.

That gives us a Super Cup edition of Der Klassiker at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK.

Borussia Dortmund Recent Form

Dortmund enter the final following a 2-2 draw against Roma.

Dortmund Last 5 Matches

  • Dortmund 2-2 Roma
  • Arsenal 2-3 Dortmund
  • FC Tokyo 0-1 Dortmund
  • Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Dortmund
  • Düsseldorf 2-1 Dortmund

Their recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw and two defeats.

However, there have been positive signs in attack.

Dortmund scored three against Arsenal before finding the net twice against Roma. That gives them five goals across their last two games.

The concern is at the other end.

They have conceded in three of their previous five matches, and facing Bayern’s attack will be considerably more demanding.

Still, playing a final at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK gives Dortmund an important advantage.

Bayern Munich Recent Form

Bayern enter the Super Cup in excellent form.

Bayern Munich Last 5 Matches

  • FC Heidenheim 2-4 Bayern Munich
  • Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig
  • Bayern Munich 2-1 Aston Villa
  • Bayern Munich 2-1 Jeju SK
  • FC Rottach-Egern 0-15 Bayern Munich

Bayern have won five consecutive matches, scoring 26 goals.

Of course, the 15-0 result against Rottach-Egern heavily increases that total. Even without that game, however, Bayern scored 11 goals across their other four fixtures.

Their 3-1 victory over RB Leipzig was another encouraging performance before the Super Cup.

There is one weakness Dortmund can target: Bayern conceded in four of those five matches.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Head-to-Head

Bayern hold a significant historical advantage in Der Klassiker.

The current overall head-to-head record provided for the two teams stands at:

  • Borussia Dortmund wins: 13
  • Bayern Munich wins: 26
  • Draws: 9

This particular competition also has plenty of history between the two clubs.

The 2026 final will be their 10th Super Cup meeting, with Bayern holding a narrow 5-4 advantage from the previous nine.

Dortmund’s home support could make this edition particularly interesting.

Borussia Dortmund Team News

Dortmund enter the final with three notable absences:

  • Emre Can – Injury
  • Nico Schlotterbeck – Injury
  • Carney Chukwuemeka – Injury

Schlotterbeck’s absence could be particularly important considering the quality of Bayern’s attack.

Dortmund are expected to use a 3-4-2-1 formation, with Serhou Guirassy leading the line.

Borussia Dortmund Predicted Lineup

Formation: 3-4-2-1

Goalkeeper:
Gregor Kobel

Defenders:
Joane Gadou, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini

Midfielders:
Julian Ryerson, Jobe Bellingham, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson

Attacking Midfielders:
Konstantinos Karetsas, Samuele Inácio

Forward:
Serhou Guirassy

Guirassy should be Dortmund’s main attacking reference.

Bayern have been conceding goals despite their winning run, so Dortmund should have opportunities if they can get Guirassy involved regularly.

Bayern Munich Team News

Bayern also have several unavailable players.

  • Jamal Musiala – Injury
  • Konrad Laimer – Injury
  • Lennart Karl – Injury
  • Serge Gnabry – Injury

Musiala is undoubtedly the biggest absence because of his ability to create chances between the lines.

Nevertheless, Bayern still have serious attacking quality available.

Michael Olise and Luis Díaz can operate from wide areas, while Harry Kane is expected to start through the middle.

Bayern Munich Predicted Lineup

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper:
Manuel Neuer

Defenders:
Josip Stanisic, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Nathaniel Brown

Midfielders:
Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic

Attacking Midfielders:
Michael Olise, Tom Bischof, Luis Díaz

Forward:
Harry Kane

Kimmich and Pavlovic should give Bayern plenty of control in midfield.

Further forward, the combination of Olise, Díaz and Kane gives Bayern several ways to attack Dortmund’s back three.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Tactical Analysis

This Super Cup Final could be decided in the spaces behind Dortmund’s wing-backs.

Dortmund’s 3-4-2-1 allows Julian Ryerson and Daniel Svensson to push forward and provide width.

However, doing so against Bayern comes with obvious risk.

Michael Olise and Luis Díaz have the pace to attack the spaces left behind, while Harry Kane can drop deeper and create room for runners around him.

Dortmund will have opportunities of their own.

Guirassy gives them a strong central target, while Karetsas and Inácio can operate between Bayern’s midfield and defence.

Considering Bayern have conceded in four of their last five matches, Dortmund should not approach the final simply trying to contain the visitors.

We could see another open Der Klassiker.

Can Borussia Dortmund Score Against Bayern?

There is a good chance.

Dortmund scored five goals across their last two matches, including three against Arsenal.

Meanwhile, Bayern have conceded against Heidenheim, RB Leipzig, Aston Villa and Jeju SK.

Add the atmosphere of a Super Cup Final at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, and a Bayern clean sheet becomes difficult to trust.

The bigger question is whether Dortmund can keep Bayern quiet at the other end.

Why Bayern Munich Have the Edge

Home advantage gives Dortmund a genuine chance, but Bayern enter the final with stronger momentum.

They have won five consecutive matches and continue to score consistently.

Their attacking options remain impressive despite the absences. Harry Kane can lead the line with Michael Olise and Luis Díaz around him.

Dortmund, meanwhile, will have to deal with that attack without Nico Schlotterbeck.

The broader head-to-head record also favours Bayern.

For those reasons, we give the visitors a slight edge in what should be a competitive final.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Betting Tips

🔥 Main Pick: Bayern Munich to Win

Bayern Munich are our main selection for the Super Cup Final.

Five consecutive victories give them stronger momentum, while their attacking depth could eventually make the difference.

Dortmund should be dangerous at home, so we do not expect an easy Bayern victory.

🛡️ Safe Pick: Bayern Munich or Draw & Over 1.5 Goals

For a more conservative selection, Bayern Munich or Draw (X2) & Over 1.5 Goals looks interesting.

This gives Dortmund’s home advantage some respect while still backing the stronger recent form of Bayern.

⚽ Goals Pick: Both Teams to Score – Yes

Both teams have reasons to believe they can score.

Dortmund have five goals across their last two matches, while Bayern have scored freely throughout their winning run.

At the same time, Bayern have conceded in four of their previous five games.

💎 Value Pick: Bayern Munich to Win & Both Teams to Score

For a higher-risk option, Bayern Munich to Win & Both Teams to Score fits our expected match scenario.

Dortmund can threaten in front of their home supporters, but Bayern may ultimately have too much quality in the final third.

🔥 Want to bet on this match?

Check the latest odds for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich on 1xBet and use promo code FREETIPZ when registering.

👉 Check Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Odds on 1xBet

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Predicted Score

Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayern Munich

Everything points towards an entertaining Super Cup Final.

Dortmund should create chances at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, especially given Bayern’s recent defensive record.

However, the visitors have been much more consistent in attack.

Kane, Olise and Díaz can punish defensive mistakes, while Kimmich gives Bayern control and experience in midfield.

Therefore, our Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich prediction is a narrow 3-2 victory for Bayern Munich.

Final Prediction

Der Klassiker provides an ideal setting for the first major trophy of the German season.

Dortmund have home advantage and enough attacking quality to cause Bayern problems. However, their recent form has been inconsistent, while the absence of Schlotterbeck could be significant.

Bayern arrive after five consecutive victories and possess more attacking depth despite missing several players themselves.

We expect Dortmund to score and make the final competitive, but Bayern’s quality in the final third gives them the edge.

🔥 Main Pick: Bayern Munich to Win

🛡️ Safe Pick: Bayern Munich or Draw (X2) & Over 1.5 Goals

⚽ Goals Pick: Both Teams to Score – Yes

💎 Value Pick: Bayern Munich to Win & Both Teams to Score

🎯 Predicted Score: Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayern Munich

Looking for more expert match analysis? Explore our latest German football predictions, team news and match previews on FreeTipz.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

New Bookmakers
888starz

200% Welcome Bonus up to $500 Promo Code: FREETIPZ

1xBet

100% Welcome bonus up to $100 Promo Code: FREETIPZ

Linebet

100% Welcome bonus up to 100€ Promo Code: FREETIPZ

Melbet

200% Welcome bonus up to 240$ Promo Code: FREETIPZ

Betwinner

100% Welcome bonus up to 100€ Promo Code: FREETIPZ