UEFA Nations League predictions for Monday, 28 September 2026. Get key stats, match analysis, and top picks for all 8 fixtures.
UEFA Nations League Predictions & Betting Tips – Monday, 28 September 2026
Eight Nations League games are on Monday’s card. Belgium vs France is the headline fixture, while Italy need a response in Türkiye and Ukraine arrive in Georgia after winning four of their last five.
Here are our picks and the numbers behind them.
🇧🇪 Belgium vs France
Belgium opened with an impressive 2-0 win in Italy. France beat Türkiye 1-0, although Kylian Mbappé is among their listed absentees.
France dominate the recorded H2H 7-2-1, but Belgium’s recent scoring form makes the goals market more attractive.
🎯 Pick: Over 1.5 Goals
Safer: France Double Chance (X2)
🇹🇷 Türkiye vs Italy
Italy lost 2-0 to Belgium, but had beaten Greece, Luxembourg and Northern Ireland before that setback.
The H2H is even clearer: Italy have three wins and one draw from four meetings.
🎯 Pick: Italy Draw No Bet
Safer: Under 3.5 Goals
🇬🇪 Georgia vs Ukraine
Ukraine are in form: four wins from their last five, including a 1-0 victory in Hungary.
They also lead Georgia 2-0 in wins across three recorded H2Hs, with one draw.
🎯 Pick: Ukraine Draw No Bet
Safer: Under 3.5 Goals
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland vs Hungary
A 1-0 win in Georgia gave Northern Ireland a strong start. Hungary lost by the same score to Ukraine.
Their H2H offers little separation — one win each and one draw.
🎯 Pick: Under 3.5 Goals
Alternative: Northern Ireland +1.5
📊 Monday’s Picks
| Match | Key Stat | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Belgium vs France | France lead H2H 7-2-1 | Over 1.5 |
| Türkiye vs Italy | Italy unbeaten in 4 H2Hs | Italy DNB |
| Georgia vs Ukraine | Ukraine won 4 of last 5 | Ukraine DNB |
| Northern Ireland vs Hungary | H2H 1-1-1 | Under 3.5 |
| Romania vs Bosnia | Bosnia won last 2 H2Hs | Bosnia X2 |
| Sweden vs Poland | Poland: 16 games without clean sheet | Over 1.5 |
| Armenia vs Montenegro | Armenia lead H2H 2-1-1 | Armenia X2 |
| Latvia vs Cyprus | Latvia lost last 3 | Cyprus DNB |
🇷🇴 Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
Romania have gone seven matches without a clean sheet and started with a 2-1 loss to Sweden. Bosnia drew 0-0 in Poland and won the previous two H2Hs.
🎯 Pick: Bosnia Double Chance (X2)
Safer: Under 3.5 Goals
🇸🇪 Sweden vs Poland
Here the stat does most of the talking: Poland have gone 16 matches without a clean sheet.
Sweden beat Romania 2-1 in their opener, while the previous Sweden–Poland meeting produced five goals.
🎯 Pick: Over 1.5 Goals
Alternative: Sweden Double Chance (1X)
🇦🇲 Armenia vs Montenegro
Both started with wins: Armenia 2-0 Latvia and Montenegro 2-1 Cyprus.
Armenia also hold a 2-1-1 recorded H2H advantage.
🎯 Pick: Armenia Double Chance (1X)
Safer: Under 3.5 Goals
🇱🇻 Latvia vs Cyprus
Three straight defeats for Latvia, with no goal scored in their last two. Cyprus also lost their opener, but their recent attacking numbers have been better.
Only one recorded H2H exists, and it ended level.
🎯 Pick: Cyprus Draw No Bet
Safer: Under 3.5 Goals
🔥 UEFA Nations Best Picks – 28 September
Belgium vs France: Over 1.5 Goals
Türkiye vs Italy: Italy DNB
Georgia vs Ukraine: Ukraine DNB
Northern Ireland vs Hungary: Under 3.5
Romania vs Bosnia: Bosnia X2
Sweden vs Poland: Over 1.5
Armenia vs Montenegro: Armenia X2
Latvia vs Cyprus: Cyprus DNB
Check confirmed lineups before kickoff.
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